Sat 12 – Sun 13 Sept
weekend, 48 hours with minting off. Reference: official close on 2026-09-11.
At the looser 2% threshold: $2,996,148 of buys, $608,257 paid above the reference on them, by 5,228 wallets.
| Token | Peak (held 15 min) | Hours above 10% | Value of buys >5% above | Paid above the reference | Wallets | Back within 5% after reopen | Community vault (simulated, per $1k) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +86.5% | 8.7 | $1,741,772 | $552,772 | 2,689 | 0.1 h | +7.1% | |
| +7.9% | 0.0 | $313,923 | $18,865 | 591 | – | -0.1% | |
| +24.9% | 2.1 | $66,755 | $11,099 | 199 | 0.0 h | +4.0% | |
| +0.6% | 0.0 | $1,441 | $504 | 2 | – | no fill | |
| +0.3% | 0.0 | $883 | $86 | 1 | – | not replayed | |
| +0.7% | 0.0 | $150 | $44 | 2 | – | -0.1% | |
| +6.4% | 0.0 | $503 | $28 | 6 | – | not replayed | |
| +2.4% | 0.0 | $24 | $2 | 1 | – | no fill | |
| – | – | $6 | $0 | 1 | – | not replayed |
73 more tokens stayed within 5% of the reference
F, RBLX, LULU, TTWO, BB, CRCL, LMT, NET, PFE, BULL, MRNA, QUBT, NBIS, IREN, SHOP, AMC, NNE, CEG, SNAP, TSLA, SKHY, GOOGL, SNDK, EWY, CRWV, DDOG, QCOM, RDDT, PLTR, LLY, SGOV, COIN, ORCL, BABA, IBM, QQQ, ADBE, AAPL, GLD, MSTR, TSM, META, AMD, MU, AMZN, MSFT, GME, AVGO, COST, RCAT, SNOW, UNH, SPY, INTC, RIVN, HIMS, XOM, BA, UPS, RUN, DELL, NFLX, APLD, ZM, INDA, FIG, PENG, SOXX, SPCX, WYFI, P, SMR, WULF
Community vault: "no fill" = the price never reached the first sell step (+8%), so nothing sold (gas only); "not replayed" = the token is outside the 45 tokens our replay covers. Peak = the highest premium the token's most active pool held for 15 minutes (single stray trades ignored); hours above 10% on the same pool; tokens with fewer than 10 swaps in the window show "–". Community vault: default ladder, with our own orders in the pool, excluding LP fee income, after the 10% fee on profit (simulated, web/public/data/supply/replay.json).
Observed onchain, Robinhood Chain mainnet. Tokens above 10% = traded at least 10% over the reference for an hour or more in total. Premiums are the highest level the price held for 15 minutes; the single highest trade can be far higher (HIMS touched +317.6% on 29 Aug, see the home page). Wallets = distinct transaction senders, bots and aggregators included.
Excluded: SATS (no official close found for the ticker); 1,569 pools with hooks (their accounting can differ from the swap event); 57 pool-windows whose price was more than 10% from the reference before the window (spam or mispriced pools).
Method
- Mint-off windows: Sat 00:00 to Mon 00:00 UTC (Robinhood tokenization window closed Sat 02:00 to Mon 02:00 CEST), extended over US market holidays.
- Reference: official close of the last US trading session before the window (Yahoo Finance daily chart). The token tracks this price at NAV when minting is on.
- Scanned: every hook-free STOCK/USDG Uniswap v4 pool with fee <= 1% (2074 pools, 187 tickers). 1569 hooked USDG pools were not scanned (hook accounting can differ from the Swap event).
- A pool is excluded for a window if its last pre-window price is more than 10% from the reference (spam or mispriced pool, not tracking the stock).
- A buy = a swap that sent the stock to the trader for USDG. Paid price = USDG in / stock out, including the pool fee (<= 1%).
- USD above reference = USDG paid - stock x reference, summed over buys whose paid price exceeded the reference by more than the threshold. Headline threshold: 5% (above fee + normal spread).
- Unique senders = distinct transaction `from` addresses, counted for buys at least 2% above the reference. Includes bots and aggregators, not only people.
- This is USD paid above the reference price, not a loss: it includes the pool fee (<= 1%), and a buyer whose stock opened higher after the window may have lost nothing.
- Tokens above 10% = the token's most active tracking pool traded at least 10% above the reference for 1 hour or more in total (tokens with fewer than 10 swaps in the window are not counted). Peak = the highest premium the pool held for at least 15 minutes (a single stray print into a near-empty price range is not a price anyone traded at).
- Recovery = hours after the window until that pool traded within 5% of the first post-window close (null = not within 72 h).
- Vault = the community vault's default ladder in the with-supply replay (web/public/data/supply/replay.json), simulated, per $1,000 and $10,000 of tokens deposited.
Source: web/public/data/weekends.json (backtest/src/weekends.ts), generated 2026-09-29.